1. Tampa Bay. Showed a lot last year and I expect to see it carry over to this season. They look like an awfully scary team without a glaring weakness. P. Montreal. Will Carey Price repeat or be merely mortal this year? P. Detroit. Why would you bet against them getting in? No more Babcock but I trust the culture over one coach. Boston. First team out. Really hard to get a read on. Elite tendy, solid top six. Do they still have the makeup though because last year's team felt very different to the same one that was top seed in the East the year before. Ottawa. Took a miraculous run last year to get in. I dont see it happening again but this is a solid team who could jump a few ahead of them. Florida. I want to believe but there's just too many gaps. Solid youngsters in Bjugtad, Huberdeau, Ekblad, etc. might surprise people but they have too much ground to make up this year. Buffalo. Outstanding offseason and snagging Kane at the break last year was brilliant. Arguably one of the best hockeystreams random tune ins but they defense does not inspire confidence. Not a bleak outlook anymore though. Toronto. Good things Toronto is used to misery. This season wont be as bad as blowing that game seven to Boston despite being up three, but I think that's the nicest thing I can say.
2. Washington. No more Fehr, Brouwer, and Ward might hurt depth because they filled so many roles but Oshie looks like a perfect fit. As long as Backstrom comes back 100% they look the most complete of the Met. P. New York Islanders. Deep team that looked awfully dangerous last year. Very possible they make the leap this year. I'd be willing to put a few bucks on them coming out of the East. P. Pittsburgh Penguins. Still a few defensive questions but an easy playoff team. W1. New York Rangers. Probably underestimating but I think years of deep runs take their toll. A couple smart signings but the window is closing. Plus it wouldnt be the playoffs without Rangers Caps and since I have the Caps as the 2 seed, there was really only one place the Rags could fall. W2. Columbus Blue Jackets. For all the talk about getting Saad there's still an awful lot of question marks. Need Bobrovsky to stay healthy but I think they're a few pieces away from contender. Philadelphia. Doing the right things. A few breaks and they may get in, but it feels more likely that they end up in the lottery. Carolina. No more sulking Semin! But not a lot to get excited about past a sneaky top six. Wisniewski and Lack dont do enough for me but outside of Calgary I dont know if there's a team D corp that I'd swap for instead of Carolina's future blueline of Faulk, Murphy, Fleury and co. New Jersey. The Pavel Zacha countdown has begun because there's not a whole lot else to look forward too even with Cory Schneider. Solid D prospects but the only way they're competitive is if the league offers moral victory points every time they score two goals.
Tampa over Columbus in six Montreal over Detroit in six Washington over NYR in seven NYI over Pittsburgh in seven
Tampa over Montreal in five NYI over Washington in seven
2. St. Louis. The playoff story line overshadows what a good team this has been the last few years. Finished top five on HR's SRS three of the last four years (7th the lockout year), including back to back 2nd place finishes. TJ Oshie is not to blame. This is a deep team that ran into LA and Chicago at the wrong time. If Jake Allen or Brian Elliott gives them timely goaltending maybe this is the year they get through. P. Nashville. I'll admit, I just love everything about this team. No organization is better at taking scraps and just perennially remaining relevant without being great. Of course, having Shea Weber, Roman Josi, and Pekka Rinne helps. 104 points last year and gave Chicago one hell of a series. I buy them to be roughly the same level again. P. Chicago. Don't get me wrong, they're still better than Nashville. 3rd in the division because of the turnover. It'll take a few months to get in the groove but enough people have waxed poetic about the Blackhawks, and deservedly so, that I dont really feel compelled to it here. WC1. Dallas. When I first ranked them, I actually had Dallas out for Winnipeg. Seven points kept them out last year. Can you guess who was the winger for Seguin/Benn for 80% of Seguin's EV ice time? Patrick Eaves. Safe to say Sharp is worth a few points there. While I'm not the biggest Kari Lehtonen fan, he was pretty unlucky last year. Still oodles of defensive holes but there's enough firepower to get in. I dare you to find a better random tune in team than Dallas this season. WC2. Colorado. This team is just simply too talented to be as bad as last season. How many top sixes have the current skill and future promise to match Landeskog, MacKinnon, Duchene? They're still a few defensive pieces away but if Varlamov stays on the ice (I hope you all got a good laugh at the thought of that) this is a dangerous team. With Roy behind the bench they have a division crown and a basement finish. Expect something in the middle but I like a bump this year. They only finished two points behind Dallas last year and are just as improved simply by default. Few players are more fun to watch than Tyson Barrie. Minnesota. Who is the real Devan Dubnyk? They're good enough that they're safe even if Dubnyk isn't last year's Vezina candidate. Not enough to seriously challenge for a Cup but I doubt St. Louis wants to see them again. I expect a three way battle for the final playoff spot and my initial thought is to give the nod to the Wild because the forward depth with guys who just know how to score like Zucker coupled with a sneaky D corp get them through. An injury or two away from losing that benefit of the doubt though. I think losing Kyle Brodziak will hurt more than people think. Winnipeg. I want to have Winnipeg in, really. But I don't buy the Ondrej Pavelec we saw at the end of the year and worry about the ability to score past the top line. Tyler Myers looked rejuvinated after the trade deadline but Winnipeg might disappoint and barely miss out. I expect a high 80's/low 90's finish which just isn't good enough in this division.
1. Anaheim. It doesn't matter who lines up with Getzlaf/Perry, this is the class of the division. Bruce Boudreau has the regular season figured out and seemed to have the postseason as well. Carl Hagelin adds a different look to the lower lines that Anaheim has missed in the past. P. Los Angeles. Really torn on LA. I don't think they're a cinch even with the shrewd adding of Milan Lucic when his value was lowest. I expect an immediate chemistry with Kopitar/Gaborik. For a team surrounded in upheaval, they're still too deep to ignore. P. San Jose. The forgotten team in the Pacific. Last year they were all over the blogs about the confusion surrounding the captain situation and another postseason flameout but I think Thornton/Marleau are in for one last hurrah before turning things over to Couture for good. Joel Ward was a fantastic signing and looks like a perfect fit even if he's a bit over the hill. Ditto Paul Martin. The D corp is quietly solid with Martin, Vlasic, Burns, Braun and the rest. It's the guy they play in front of that's the question mark. If they get average goaltending from Martin Jones or Alex Stalock I think they get in comfortably. Bonus points if Tomas Hertl is the player we saw his rookie year. Calgary. So polarizing. Everybody knows they defied analytics and conventional wisdom but they looked legit for stretches. The Dougie Hamilton coup was a stroke of genius for an already great defense. I just dont see a repeat. They'll be back in next year though. The youngters Bennett, Gaudreau, etc., are just too good but last year was too much too soon. Might be the first team out. Edmonton. So much ground to make up but everybody knows what's coming through the pipeline. Andrej Sekera will work this year but the contract might bite them by 2017 and beyond. The questions in goal are hard to ignore but the main thing that needs to be overcome is the culture and until then they remain out. Show us you know how to win because the talent has been there for years and the balance hasn't changed. Lots of names on offense, not so much on defense, and that still hasn't changed. Vancouver. Kind of shocking they managed 101 points last year. Ryan Miller has caught the injury bug and the team just isn't deep enough at the moment. Kevin Bieksa walking signaled a changing of the guard but the roster seems stuck in between. The Sedins are unmovable by the nature of their contracts which wont help. A full season of Bo Horvat playing the way he did the last few months might allow them to challenge in a weak division but the drop off is inevitable. Arizona. Just nothing to speak of here. Below average across the board. Antoine Vermette was a healthy scratch for the Blackhawks and projected as a top six center in Arizona. The minors are fully loaded with Duclair, Domi, Strome, Dvorak, etc., but they're still years away from contributing in a meaningful manner. It's depressing to watch OEL waste prime years here but that's the nature of the game. Even goalie guru Sean Burke wasn't able to keep Mike Smith relevant, which is a word that simply wont be used to describe the team until the 2016 draft.
Ducks over Avalanche in four. Blues over Stars in five. Blackhawks over Predators in five. Sharks over Kings in seven.
Ducks over Sharks in six. Blues over Blackhawks in seven.
2. St. Louis. The playoff story line overshadows what a good team this has been the last few years. Finished top five on HR's SRS three of the last four years (7th the lockout year), including back to back 2nd place finishes. TJ Oshie is not to blame. This is a deep team that ran into LA and Chicago at the wrong time. If Jake Allen or Brian Elliott gives them timely goaltending maybe this is the year they get through. P. Nashville. I'll admit, I just love everything about this team. No organization is better at taking scraps and just perennially remaining relevant without being great. Of course, having Shea Weber, Roman Josi, and Pekka Rinne helps. 104 points last year and gave Chicago one hell of a series. I buy them to be roughly the same level again. P. Chicago. Don't get me wrong, they're still better than Nashville. 3rd in the division because of the turnover. It'll take a few months to get in the groove but enough people have waxed poetic about the Blackhawks, and deservedly so, that I dont really feel compelled to it here. WC1. Dallas. When I first ranked them, I actually had Dallas out for Winnipeg. Seven points kept them out last year. Can you guess who was the winger for Seguin/Benn for 80% of Seguin's EV ice time? Patrick Eaves. Safe to say Sharp is worth a few points there. While I'm not the biggest Kari Lehtonen fan, he was pretty unlucky last year. Still oodles of defensive holes but there's enough firepower to get in. I dare you to find a better random tune in team than Dallas this season. WC2. Colorado. This team is just simply too talented to be as bad as last season. How many top sixes have the current skill and future promise to match Landeskog, MacKinnon, Duchene? They're still a few defensive pieces away but if Varlamov stays on the ice (I hope you all got a good laugh at the thought of that) this is a dangerous team. With Roy behind the bench they have a division crown and a basement finish. Expect something in the middle but I like a bump this year. They only finished two points behind Dallas last year and are just as improved simply by default. Few players are more fun to watch than Tyson Barrie. Minnesota. Who is the real Devan Dubnyk? They're good enough that they're safe even if Dubnyk isn't last year's Vezina candidate. Not enough to seriously challenge for a Cup but I doubt St. Louis wants to see them again. I expect a three way battle for the final playoff spot and my initial thought is to give the nod to the Wild because the forward depth with guys who just know how to score like Zucker coupled with a sneaky D corp get them through. An injury or two away from losing that benefit of the doubt though. I think losing Kyle Brodziak will hurt more than people think. Winnipeg. I want to have Winnipeg in, really. But I don't buy the Ondrej Pavelec we saw at the end of the year and worry about the ability to score past the top line. Tyler Myers looked rejuvinated after the trade deadline but Winnipeg might disappoint and barely miss out. I expect a high 80's/low 90's finish which just isn't good enough in this division.
1. Anaheim. It doesn't matter who lines up with Getzlaf/Perry, this is the class of the division. Bruce Boudreau has the regular season figured out and seemed to have the postseason as well. Carl Hagelin adds a different look to the lower lines that Anaheim has missed in the past. P. Los Angeles. Really torn on LA. I don't think they're a cinch even with the shrewd adding of Milan Lucic when his value was lowest. I expect an immediate chemistry with Kopitar/Gaborik. For a team surrounded in upheaval, they're still too deep to ignore. P. San Jose. The forgotten team in the Pacific. Last year they were all over the blogs about the confusion surrounding the captain situation and another postseason flameout but I think Thornton/Marleau are in for one last hurrah before turning things over to Couture for good. Joel Ward was a fantastic signing and looks like a perfect fit even if he's a bit over the hill. Ditto Paul Martin. The D corp is quietly solid with Martin, Vlasic, Burns, Braun and the rest. It's the guy they play in front of that's the question mark. If they get average goaltending from Martin Jones or Alex Stalock I think they get in comfortably. Bonus points if Tomas Hertl is the player we saw his rookie year. Calgary. So polarizing. Everybody knows they defied analytics and conventional wisdom but they looked legit for stretches. The Dougie Hamilton coup was a stroke of genius for an already great defense. I just dont see a repeat. They'll be back in next year though. The youngters Bennett, Gaudreau, etc., are just too good but last year was too much too soon. Might be the first team out. Edmonton. So much ground to make up but everybody knows what's coming through the pipeline. Andrej Sekera will work this year but the contract might bite them by 2017 and beyond. The questions in goal are hard to ignore but the main thing that needs to be overcome is the culture and until then they remain out. Show us you know how to win because the talent has been there for years and the balance hasn't changed. Lots of names on offense, not so much on defense, and that still hasn't changed. Vancouver. Kind of shocking they managed 101 points last year. Ryan Miller has caught the injury bug and the team just isn't deep enough at the moment. Kevin Bieksa walking signaled a changing of the guard but the roster seems stuck in between. The Sedins are unmovable by the nature of their contracts which wont help. A full season of Bo Horvat playing the way he did the last few months might allow them to challenge in a weak division but the drop off is inevitable. Arizona. Just nothing to speak of here. Below average across the board. Antoine Vermette was a healthy scratch for the Blackhawks and projected as a top six center in Arizona. The minors are fully loaded with Duclair, Domi, Strome, Dvorak, etc., but they're still years away from contributing in a meaningful manner. It's depressing to watch OEL waste prime years here but that's the nature of the game. Even goalie guru Sean Burke wasn't able to keep Mike Smith relevant, which is a word that simply wont be used to describe the team until the 2016 draft.
Ducks over Avalanche in four. Blues over Stars in five. Blackhawks over Predators in five. Sharks over Kings in seven.
Ducks over Sharks in six. Blues over Blackhawks in seven.
Ducks over Blues in seven.
Ducks over Islanders five.
I agree with most of what you said but I still don't think the Blues are a team bred for the playoffs. They are great regular season just don't seem to know how to turn it on in the playoffs. I don't see them beating the Hawks.
Lightning(x) Red Wings (x) Montreal (x) Sens Panthers Maple Leafs Bruins Sabres
Summary: Tampa is the team to beat, and the rest of the division looks wide open. I like the Red Wings especially if Datsyuk and Zetterburg are still themselves. Montreal can snag the last spot, but it all depends on Price cause if Thierrien stays and Price's save percentage falls by just %0.05 Mont real is in trouble. This is by far the closest division with one spot open for the taking.
Cpitals look like they can run away with it if Holtby can follow up and Ovi is Ovi. Then the margin from the Pens, Rangers, Islander and Jackets to the Canes, Flyers and Devils is huge so I am confident the first four make playoffs and the jackets look like they desrve a spot as well.
I think Kings should have a playoff birth as they got better and they were extremely unlucky to just miss playoffs. Ducks won't be as good as last year as they had almost three times more wins than losses in one goal games (extremely lucky) but they are good and should be a playoff team again. I think Sharks get last spot if they can stop the circus they have there right now. Still some great peices like Thorton, Marleau, Pavelski, Couture, etc. Flames miss because their crazy high PDO gets back to normal and they stop scoring in the last minute of the game every god damn time lol.
Predators(x) Blues (x) Jets (x) Wild(x) Blackhawks (x) Stars(X) Avalanche
Predicting the standings is hard cause every team has a legit shot of getting first, but ti looks like every team except for the Avs will make the playoffs.
You have 6 teams from this division making playoffs haha. You can only have 5 max
Round 1 Lightning vs Jackets = Tampa win Red Wings vs Montral = Red Wings win Capitals vs Islanders = Capitals win Rangers vs Penguins = Pens win
Predators vs Stars = Taking the upset and Stars win Blues vs Jets = Jets win Kings vs Blackhawks = Kings win Ducks vs Sharks = Sharks win
Round 2
Tampa vs Red wings = Tampa wins Capitals vs Pens = So even but I want Ovi to win once and Pens took it last time so Caps win
Stars vs Jets = Jets win Kings vs Sharks = Kings win
Round 3
Tampa vs Capitals = Tampa takes it Jets vs Kings = Kings win
Final
Kings vs Tampa = Stanley Cup Champs are Tampa (if they are ever gonna win it is now with all the expriring contracts and they have an easy road to the playoffs if they are good)
Predators(x) Blues (x) Jets (x) Wild(x) Blackhawks (x) Stars(X) Avalanche
Predicting the standings is hard cause every team has a legit shot of getting first, but ti looks like every team except for the Avs will make the playoffs.
You have 6 teams from this division making playoffs haha. You can only have 5 max
Post by CHI (David) on Oct 1, 2015 20:47:01 GMT -8
Atlantic:
Lightning(y) Montreal(x) Panthers(x) Red Wings(x) Senators Sabres Bruins Maple Leafs
Lightning are the team to beat in the Atlantic, Habs need more offense from their forwards, and the Panthers are still a young team getting experience. While the Red Wings could be making another appearance in the playoffs and their placement will depend on Datsyuk and Zetterberg staying healthy along with some quality help from a couple rookies.
Metropolitan:
Capitals(y) Rangers(x) Blue Jackets(X) Islanders(X) Penguins Flyers Hurricanes Devils
With the Metro becoming the Thunderdome of the East, the Caps and Rags should be duking it out for first. The Jackets should easily get a playoff berth as long as they stay healthy. Whereas, the Isles/Pens are a toss up for me, it could go either way. Isles need more offense, and the Pens need a better blueline.
Blues continue to own in the regular season, winning the division to avoid the Hawks. Hawks go second, and the Preds ride in on the strong play of Rinne and their youth. Wild and Jets barely slide in to take the remaining spots. I think the Stars miss because their blueline is not strong enough, and their 50/50 goalie split is not strong enough.
Ducks own this division, and should be a good while. The Flames continue their upswing and take the 2nd spot. Kings come back to life on the back of Doughty/Quick, but make it mainly because 3 teams must go from each division. Rest of the division is a toss up, but the Canucks take the biggest fall, and the Oilers don't take last. The year of McDavid is still a couple years away, especially without a top goalie and stronger blueline.
Post by CHI (David) on Oct 1, 2015 20:55:20 GMT -8
Round 1 East:
Lightning vs Red Wings, Lightning win in 6 Habs vs Panthers, Panthers win in 7 Caps vs Isles, Caps win in 6 Rags vs Jackets, Rags win in 7
Round 1 West:
Blues vs Jets, Jets in 7 Ducks vs Wild, Ducks in 6 Hawks vs Preds, Hawks in 6 Flames vs Kings, Flames in 7
Round 2 East
Lightning vs Panthers, Lightning in 6 Rags vs Caps, Caps in 6
Round 2 West
Hawks vs Jets, Hawks in 7 Ducks vs Flames, Flames in 7
ECF - Lightning vs Caps, Caps in 7
WCF - Hawks vs Flames, Hawks in 7
SCF - Caps vs Hawks, Hawks in 7 (2 OT)
TBH, Caps vs Hawks would be a great series, and I picked the Hawks because I am a homer, haha. But I could see it going either way if it comes down to these 2 teams.